Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.986217 1.202166 1.432777 1.695305 1.983913 2.289721 2.636486
2024-10-27 0.756181 1.059108 1.406457 1.825550 2.309599 2.844148 3.472419
2024-11-03 0.642179 0.992747 1.414582 1.942478 2.570228 3.279736 4.129870
2024-11-10 0.554075 0.940746 1.427001 2.055018 2.820057 3.700918 4.772318
2024-11-17 0.488611 0.903523 1.445914 2.165158 3.058532 4.102235 5.386411
2024-11-24 0.411479 0.837536 1.418427 2.210037 3.212630 4.400705 5.878768
2024-12-01 0.335613 0.760500 1.366584 2.215892 3.312463 4.629859 6.286085
2024-12-08 0.252990 0.658018 1.268677 2.152487 3.318398 4.740206 6.547873
2024-12-15 0.186701 0.568016 1.178163 2.090472 3.319359 4.839331 6.792070
2024-12-22 0.139930 0.501141 1.113750 2.057565 3.352619 4.974181 7.076026
2024-12-29 0.114089 0.468648 1.098384 2.090647 3.470662 5.213827 7.487521
2025-01-05 0.088491 0.429459 1.067982 2.099064 3.553757 5.408168 7.842714
2025-01-12 0.059843 0.374957 1.010865 2.071652 3.596043 5.561879 8.163638
2025-01-19 0.056371 0.386139 1.068046 2.217122 3.877640 6.026446 8.877192
2025-01-26 0.051826 0.392527 1.115956 2.348134 4.139203 6.465319 9.558978
2025-02-02 0.047115 0.396928 1.159994 2.473576 4.393976 6.896830 10.233586
2025-02-09 0.042647 0.400554 1.202159 2.596177 4.645266 7.324660 10.904845
2025-02-16 0.032756 0.380559 1.198218 2.646031 4.794489 7.619920 11.409952
2025-02-23 0.021926 0.348696 1.168112 2.652538 4.881380 7.833100 11.811292
2025-03-02 0.010409 0.297219 1.092591 2.582081 4.855957 7.896727 12.021664
2025-03-09 0.003617 0.251332 1.021093 2.513086 4.828941 7.955567 12.223849
2025-03-16 0.000833 0.218371 0.971669 2.476439 4.845256 8.068946 12.492724
2025-03-23 0.000172 0.205312 0.966054 2.513280 4.968995 8.326283 12.947123